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Published on Thursday, February 13, 2020

Colombia 2020-2021: What are the main issues? and what to expect?

Global growth stabilizes in 2020 at low levels. On the local side, the economy will grow 3.2% in 2020 driven by internal demand, particularly from investment. Inflation returns to a decreasing path and interest rates remain stable in this context in 2020.

Key points

  • Key points:
  • Global growth shows signs of stabilization but at low levels.
  • The US / China trade agreement reduces uncertainty, but not protectionism.
  • Current and structural global risks aren't negligible.
  • In Colombia, growth will continue to consolidate in 2020 and 2021 with a better balance between its components.
  • Inflation will gradually subside in 2020 and 2021, with an exchange rate at high levels. The Central Bank will keep rates until 2021.

Documents and files

Presentation (PDF)

JTellezBBVAResearchFeb20.pdf

Spanish - February 13, 2020

Authors

Juana Téllez
Juana Téllez Chief economist for Colombia
BBVA Research
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