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Published on Wednesday, October 14, 2026

Spain | Inflation rebounded in September and will remain high in October

Headline inflation increased by 0.6 percentage points, to 4.9% year-on-year in September. Core inflation rose slightly, to 3.1%. For October, BBVA Research forecasts headline inflation of 4.8%, while core inflation would remain around 3.1%.

Key points

  • Key points:
  • Inflation rebounded in line with expectations.
  • Energy explains most of the rebound in inflation, but pressures are perceived in a large part of the CPI special groups.
  • The inflation differential with respect to the EMU continued to be unfavorable.
  • Outlook for October.

Documents and files

Report (PDF)

Spain | Inflation picked up in September and will remain high in October

Spanish - October 14, 2026

Authors

Camilo Ulloa
Camilo Ulloa Principal economist for Spain & Portugal
BBVA Research
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