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During September 2019, bank deposits seems to have been more influenced by the prolonged weakness of economic activity in Mexico than by the environment of lower interest rates. This was reflected in a slower pace of joint growth of demand and term deposits, a fact that has not been observed since December 2018.
The signal of change in the dynamics of the fundraising of the banking sector was confirmed in August. The beginning of the cycle of cuts by the central bank of the short-term interest rate influenced so that the term deposits grew to its lowest level in almost two years.
Sight deposits hiked to 5.7% (YoY), while term deposits slowed down to 12.9% (YoY), influenced by possible signs of change in savings dynamics.
During the month of June, the weakness of the economy once again influenced the growth in the deposits of the banking system. Similarly to the last months, low growth rates of demand deposits predominated over double-digit growth rates of term deposits.
Update of financial savings and financing indicators in Mexico. Credit limit raised by INFONAVIT. Market performance supported by expected interest rate cuts. Reports by Sociedades de Información Crediticia (Credit bureaus). Information received by SIC from financial institutions.
July 19, 2019
Mexico | The effects of economic weakness are accentuated over traditional bank deposits
The continued decline in the pace of economic activity and the risks in both commercial and economic policy have had an adverse influence on deposits of the banking system, to the point that the nominal growth of the traditional deposits during May 2019 was located at its lowest level since the end of 2013.
Mortgage lending increased, with higher average amounts and a slight increase in the interest rate. In 2018, payroll loans slowed their growth rate. The Financial System Stability Council (CESF) updates its risk balance. High concentration of demand for bank mortgage loans.
The combination of weak economic activity and high short-term interest rates maintain low growth over demand deposits, the main component of traditional deposits.