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June 24, 2022

Mexico | Will there be a recession in the United States?

Recessions occur because the Fed's short-term interest rates determine the level of all rates in the economy: the Fed's rate hike implies higher rates for credit to companies, for mortgage loans and for consumer loans, etc.

June 23, 2022

Banxico shifts to a steeper tightening pace

Banxico raised the policy rate by 75bp to 7.75% and signaled that another hike of this size was possible at its next meeting, but also that a larger hike was unlikely

June 22, 2022

Banxico will act “more forcefully” and deliver, a widely anticipated, larger 75bp hike

There is (now) a wide consensus that Banxico will match Fed’s expected hikes through December, taking the policy rate to 9.50% by year-end

June 21, 2022

Mexico | The financial system shows resilience in the face of the current risk scenario

In addition to the remaining effects of the pandemic, challenges associated with the geopolitical conflict between Russia and Ukraine, global inflationary pressures and the tightening of financial conditions worsen the current risk scenario.

June 17, 2022

Mexico | Poverty in periods of economic crisis

Due to slowing growth and high inflation rates around the world, the World Bank raised concerns about global stagflation. Considering this scenario plus a possible fifth wave of COVID-19, some implications for the population in poverty are analyzed in a press release.

June 16, 2022

Mexico | Wage distribution deteriorated and no signs of improvement

The growth of employment, and consequently the low levels of unemployment, have made it possible to increase the total wage bill, which is currently 3.0% above the pre-pandemic level; however, this gain has been due to the generation of low-paid jobs and the loss of employment of more than 2 Minimum Wages (MW)

June 10, 2022

Mexico | Why is the peso "strong"?

At the time of writing this article, the exchange rate is 19.5 pesos per dollar; a remarkable level considering that just last November its value was 21.9 pesos per dollar (an appreciation of more than 10%).

June 9, 2022

Mexico | Monthly Report on Banking and the Financial System. June 2022

In April 2022, the balance of traditional bank deposits exhibited a real YoY growth rate of 1.5%, while outstanding credit granted by commercial banks to the non-financial private sector (NFPS) grew 0.9% in real terms, the first real growth rate recorded since July 2020.