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January 20, 2020

Mexico | Bank credit to private sector has been growing at a single digit for seven months

In October and November 2019, the nominal annual growth rates of the balance of the current credit portfolio granted by commercial banks to the non-financial private sector were 5.7 and 5.8%, respectively (2.6% real in October and 2.8% real in November).

January 16, 2020

Mexico | Increase in minimum wage, without effects on inflation and employment

Last December an increase of 20% was announced for minimum wages for this year. This will obviously mean an increase in the standard of living of those workers who perceive it: about a million people, according to the National Survey of Occupation and Employment (ENOE).

December 30, 2019

North American Trade Agreement: An Excellent Opportunity For Mexico

Mexico, Canada and US have reached an agreement to renew the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) entered into 25 years ago and which president Donald Trump promised to renegotiate during his electoral campaign. It's important to remember that an understanding had already been reached in December of last year.

December 20, 2019

Mexico | Signs of stress on the labor market

As predicted, the deceleration of formal employment has been persistent practically throughout the year, in November it grew 1.7% YoY, the lower level since the crisis of 2009. From January to November 724 thousand jobs have been created.

December 19, 2019

An overly cautious Banxico cut its policy rate to 7.25%

There is still plenty of room to cut rates; we expect the monetary policy stance to reach neutrality by the summer of next year.

December 18, 2019

Mexico Banking Outlook. Second half 2019

In the first nine months of 2019 the main source of bank credit growth granted to the private sector was that granted to companies. Commercial banks deposits loses dynamism. Weakness of external financing sources influenced by concerns about the global cycle and internal uncertainty.

December 18, 2019

Banxico’s rate cut cycle has legs

A faster easing pace is warranted but Banxico is likely to remain overly cautious. No signs that Banxico is willing to speed up the long overdue easing cycle.

December 18, 2019

Migration Watch, end of year 2019

There are 272 million migrants in the world in 2019, 23.0% more than in 2010. Mexico is the 2nd country with more migrants in the world. In 2019 there are 12.4 million Mexican migrants in the U.S. Remittances to Mexico will exceed 36 billion dollars in 2019, which will be ranked 3rd in the world, displacing Philippines.