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February 7, 2025
Mexico | FDI increased in the manufacturing sector in 3Q24
As of the third quarter of 2024 (3Q24), the trade deficit is 11 billion dollars. In the same period, foreign direct investment (FDI) continues to flow to Mexico. Through 3Q24, the country has attracted 35.7 billion dollars, a slight increase of 1.5% compared to the same period of the previous year.
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February 7, 2025
Mexico | For now, Mexico is successful at avoiding tariffs
On Monday, February 3, the heads of state of Mexico and the US reached an agreement to put on hold for a month the imposition of tariffs that the White House pretended to apply to imports coming from Mexico.
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February 6, 2025
Mexico | Banxico speeds up easing pace, strikes a more dovish tone
It unequivocally signaled that it remains set to keep cutting rates steadily ahead and hinted that in the absence of any major events, it is likely to consider additional 50bp cuts at upcoming meetings.
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February 5, 2025
Mexico | With the tariff threat in pause, a 50bp rate cut now seems very likely
Below 4.0% inflation, easing core services inflation, softer aggregate demand, a cooling labor market, a peso that continues to hold up, and an overly restrictive monetary policy stance, keep the door wide open for a larger 50bp cut.
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February 5, 2025
Mexico | Public debt increases by almost 5 percentage points of GDP in 2024
The Historical Balance of Public Sector Borrowing Requirements (HBPSBR) was 51.4% of GDP at the end of 2024. We expect this indicator of public debt-to-GDP ratio to be 53.1% at year-end.
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February 4, 2025
Mexico | Record in remittances: 64,745 million dollars in 2024, and dark spots for 2025
Mexico received 64,745 million dollars (md) in remittances in 2024, +2.3% compared to 2023 when 63,319 md were received. Remittances reach a new historical maximum in 2024 and accumulate a streak of 11 consecutive years of growth, which began in 2014.
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February 2, 2025
Mexico | 25% tariffs on Mexico: unlikely to be long-lasting
On February 1, the White House announced that it would impose tariffs of 25% on imports (not all imports, which leaves open the question of whether they will be selective) on Mexico and Canada and 10% on China (in addition to those already faced).
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February 1, 2025
Mexico| EU-Mexico Agreement: greater protection for European investments
In a context marked by protectionist measures, the rapid entry into force of the modernized EU-Mexico Free Trade Agreement (TLCUEM) would help to provide certainty for investors, attract foreign investment, diversify exports, and mitigate disruptions in global supply chains.
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January 23, 2025
Mexico | Slow manufacturing momentum in December; potential risks from tariffs
The BBVA Research Multidimensional Manufacturing Indicator fell (-)3.3% YoY in December, the ninth consecutive decline since April; considering the December data, the year-on-year change averages (-)2.6% in 2024, 2.7 pp below the figure observed the previous year.
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January 22, 2025
Mexico | Trump 2.0 Mass Deportation: A Low Probability Event
On the first day of the Trump 2.0 administration, at least 7 executive orders or proclamations were issued regarding immigration issues, highlighting the importance of this issue for his government.
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