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Upward revision to our 2023 real GDP growth forecast to 1.4% (0.6% previously); we expect the economy will grow 2.2% in 2024. Private spending will drive growth this year and mitigate the slowdown in manufacturing amid external demand weakness.
The February figure (2.0% YoY) is the lowest since the end of 2021 and suggests a turning point for manufacturing this year, given the gradual deceleration in external demand.
During January 2023, the real balance of the current credit portfolio granted by commercial banks to the non-financial private sector (NFPS) grew 4.6% YoY, while traditional bank deposits (sight + term) exhibited a real YoY fall of - 0.1%.
The behavior of private spending was fueled by the growth of 3.4% in the services segment, while the consumption of goods fell (-)0.8%.
In February, 176 thousand jobs were created (3.4% YoY), marking the second-highest job creation since 1998. Although this is a significant growth, it aligns with the expected slowdown.
There are indications that the Green New Deal is beginning to directly impact the reconversion of production and energy in the United States. There are signs that Mexico is benefiting despite not having a policy that supports this productive transformation or reconversion.
In February 2023, the International Monetary Fund published a discussion note on public perception of some climate policies, using novel international surveys for 28 countries (30,000 surveys, including Mexico with 1,009 surveys).
We expect the trade balance to show a lower deficit this year under the expectation of lower GDP growth when compared to 2022. To promote both nearshoring and FDI flows into Mexico, the country will have to invest more in electrical infrastruct…
This Agenda presents the 2023 dissemination schedule for economic indicators and relevant monetary policy events in Mexico and the US; dates of important events such as the meetings of various relevant international entities such as: World Econ…
Considering that March 4 is the World Obesity Day, this press article analyzes not only the problems associated with obesity and overweight, but also the possible effects that could have on family spending.
In 2022, economic growth in Mexico was 3.1%, higher than what the consensus anticipated a year ago. I believe that this performance is explained, fundamentally, by four factors.
From its lowest point, in 2013, to 2022, remittances to Mexico have grown a total of 162.3%, positioning it as one of the main sources of foreign currency for the country. Thus, an important question to analyze is: Does Mexico receive more currency flow through remittances or through Foreign Direct Investment?
