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The growth of the Colombian economy was exceptionally low in 2023, registering at 0.6%. The primary culprit for this outcome was the steep decline in investment. Concerns extend beyond the short term, as the low investment rates will constrain the future productive capacity of the economy and curtail its competitiveness.

Andalusia's GDP will grow by 1.5% in 2024 and 2.5% in 2025. This will allow 175 thousand jobs to be created in the two-year period and reduce the unemployment rate to 15.7% in 2025.

GDP fell 0.7% y/y in December and 0.6% for the year as a whole. It was a year of negative shocks (political and social upheaval, weather anomalies) and in which the environment for private sector spending was challenging (high inflation and int…

The Colombian economy expanded by 0.6% in 2023. The deceleration accentuated in the second half. Domestic demand contracted by 3.8%, weighed down by a decline in investment and the modest increase in private consumption. The external sector pro…

We revise our activity impulse report to become a flash release at the start of each month. By the end of January, our GDP nowcast indicators signal a nearly stagnant quarterly GDP growth rate, which corresponds to an annual growth of 3.5%. We …

Murcia's GDP will grow by 1.6% in 2024 and 2.5% in 2025. This will allow 34 thousand jobs to be created in the two-year period and reduce the unemployment rate to 11.5% in 2025.

We expect GDP growth to materialize closer to 4.5% in 2023 and decelerate to nearly 3.5% in 2024, where the fiscal stance and the size of capital inflows will be decisive. Leading indicators show that domestic demand remains stronger than supply, posing risks on both inflation and current account deficit.

Aragon's GDP will grow by 1.8% in 2024 and 2.4% in 2025. This will allow 25 thousand jobs to be created in the two-year period and reduce the unemployment rate to 7.6% in 2025.

Economic activity grew 0.1% QoQ in 4Q23, with null variation in industry (0.0% QoQ), and modest growth in the tertiary sector (0.1% QoQ)

Investment has yet to return to pre-COVID-19 levels, unlike other GDP components. Whereas real GDP in the third quarter of 2023 was 2.1 p.p. above its pre-crisis level, investment was 2.9 p.p. below.

Recently, the National Government, through the DNP, approved a policy document (Conpes) to boost manufacturing over the next 10 years, with focus on increasing productivity and promoting technological change in the economy. This column summarizes its starting hypotheses and objectives, commenting on some of them.

GDP growth in 2024 is revised downwards for all peninsular regions. Greater corrections in the northern regions, but they will lead growth in 2024. In 2025, a general acceleration due to the improvement in domestic consumption and European demand: advantage for national tourism recipients.