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June 24, 2019

Italy, once again

The Italian economy has returned to the spotlight in recent weeks due to the risks that its fiscal policy may entail, and as a result of the noise generated by the proposals of something that may resemble a parallel currency.

June 18, 2019

Galicia Economic Outlook 2019

The economy of Galicia grew 2.7% in 2018, and will still grow 2.2% in 2019 and 2.0% in 2020, creating some 30,300 new jobs in those two years, although some external factors’ contribution shall slow down. Having almost recovered pre-crisis per capita income, creating more and better jobs remains as a challenge

June 18, 2019

Spain | No signs of slowdown for the moment

GDP growth could be between 0.6% and 0.7% t/t in 2Q19, which, if confirmed, would introduce an upward bias on BBVA Research's growth forecast for 2019 (2.2% a/a). Domestic spending continues to lead economic activity, although exports could have regained some traction

June 14, 2019

China | Growth slowdown deepened as trade war risk intensified again

A batch of May economic indicators are announced today, together with previously released trade and credit data, suggesting that the risk of growth deceleration looms large as US-China trade war remain unsettled. We anticipate more monetary and fiscal easing measures to be deployed to sustain growth momentum.

June 10, 2019

Europe: the election backlash

The European election results were less negative than feared by pro-European parties, but it is still too early to determine the changes that may come about in terms of economic policy. Currently, they are contributing to the aggravation of political problems in some countries.

June 6, 2019

What is the cyclical position of the Spanish economy?

Over the last few months, there has been an interesting debate on the cyclical position of the Spanish economy, its potential growth and the output gap.

June 4, 2019

Basque Country Economic Outlook 2019

The economy of the Basque Country reduced its growth to 2.2% in 2018, and will keep a similar growth rate in 2019 and 2020. It will create 27,000 new jobs during that time, although there are many risks and some are now more likely to materialize. Total employment will be 5.5 percentage points below its pre-crisis level

June 4, 2019

Catalonia Outlook. First quarter 2019

The Catalan economy grew at a rate of 2.3% in 2018, and will maintain a similar dynamism in 2019 and 2020, with GDP increases of 2.2% and 2.0%. This will allow the creation of 126.000 jobs, reduce the unemployment rate to 9.8% by the end of 2 020 and recover the positive growth differential compared to Spain