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An Empirical Assessment of Social Unrest Dynamics and State Response in Eurasian Countries

Published on Friday, June 19, 2015 | Updated on Thursday, November 19, 2015

Document number 15/20

An Empirical Assessment of Social Unrest Dynamics and State Response in Eurasian Countries

This paper shows an empirical assessment of Social Unrest Dynamics in the Eurasian countries. We use a Big Database of social events (GDELT) to build several real time indexes of different stages of social unrest escalation consistent with the Unrest Lifecycle Theory and together with alternative measures of the state response.

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