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Published on Friday, June 19, 2015 | Updated on Thursday, November 19, 2015

Document number 15/20

An Empirical Assessment of Social Unrest Dynamics and State Response in Eurasian Countries

Summary

This paper shows an empirical assessment of Social Unrest Dynamics in the Eurasian countries. We use a Big Database of social events (GDELT) to build several real time indexes of different stages of social unrest escalation consistent with the Unrest Lifecycle Theory and together with alternative measures of the state response.

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Working paper 15.20 An Empirical Assessment of Social Unrest Dynamics and State Response

English - June 19, 2015

Authors

GD
Gonzalo De Cadenas Santiago
AG
Alicia García-Herrero
Alvaro Ortiz
Alvaro Ortiz Head of Economic Analysis with Big Data & AI
BBVA Research
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Tomasa Rodrigo
Tomasa Rodrigo Lead economist for Economic analysis with Big Data & AI
BBVA Research
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