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Published on Thursday, July 21, 2022

Europe | ECB: New tool aids bold exit from negative rates as inflation risks intensify

Summary

Today decision, this combination of faster rate hikes and a new instrument is most welcome as it signals ECB’s decisive yet prudent approach to monetary policy making in a limiting and highly uncertain environment.

Key points

  • Key points:
  • All key benchmark interest rates were hiked by 50 bps, larger than previously signaled, justified by high inflation risks, and introduction of a new policy tool
  • The Transmission Protection Instrument (TPI) was introduced to address fragmentation risk. All countries will be eligible under four conditional criteria
  • Economic outlook has evolved towards deceleration, while inflation pressures have broadened. But a potential recession is yet not included for neither this year nor the next one.

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Documents and files

Report (PDF)

ECB-Watch-0722.pdf

English - July 21, 2022

Authors

JC
Javier Castro Sotelo
SD
Sumedh Deorukhkar BBVA Research - Senior Economist
MJ
Miguel Jiménez BBVA Research - Lead Economist
MM
María Martínez BBVA Research - Principal Economist
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