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Published on Thursday, July 9, 2020 | Updated on Thursday, July 9, 2020

Big Data techniques used

Global | The COVID-19 impact on Consumption in Real Time and High Definition: 9 July

Summary

This is a weekly publication based on high-frequency and high-resolution aggregated and anonymised transaction data from BBVA to analyse the dynamics in real time of expenditure in the countries where BBVA operates during the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic.

Key points

  • Key points:
  • The pace of recovery moderated at the end of June as countries started getting closer to normality
  • The Consumption Diffusion Heat Map clearly shows the worst is behind us
  • Expenditure in transport and restaurants keeps recovering after the lift of mobility restrictions, specially in Europe, and the gap between goods and services has narrowed in some countries
  • The use of cash has been affected differently by country, with similar trends between card and cash being observed in Peru and Spain
  • Spain continues consolidating its recovery; accommodation’s negative growth kept moderating this week and card expenditure rose in 48 out of 52 provinces, but less than the previous week. In Turkey, consumption reached February’s growth rates but investment slowed down due to calendar effects. Mexico’s sectors show larger gaps than the USA’s ones, with food and health being the most benefited ones. Peru and Colombia reached positive growth rates during the beginning of July

Geographies

Topics

Documents and files

Presentation (PDF)

Weekly_Big_Data_9thJul_.pdf

English - July 9, 2020

Authors

VB
Vanessa Belapatiño BBVA Research - Senior Economist
FB
Filip Blazheski
FB
Fernando Bolívar
AC
Adrian Casillas
MC
María Paula Castañeda
JG
Juan Ramón García BBVA Research - Principal Economist
BO
Berk Orkun Isa
JM
Juan Manuel Manías BBVA Research - Principal Economist
AO
Alvaro Ortiz BBVA Research - Head of Analysis with Big Data
TR
Tomasa Rodrigo BBVA Research - Lead Economist
PR
Pep Ruiz BBVA Research - Principal Economist
SS
Saide Aránzazu Salazar BBVA Research - Principal Economist
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