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Published on Wednesday, November 28, 2018 | Updated on Thursday, November 29, 2018

Mexico | Stable debt to GDP ratio in 2019 with a minimum primary surplus of 0.5% of GDP

Summary

The stabilization of public debt as a share of GDP is one of the goals that the incoming federal public administration has set out to reach. Keeping the historical balance of PSBR stable around 46.5% of GDP in 2019, ceteris paribus, will be possible if the federal government achieves a minimum primary surplus of 0.5% of GDP.

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Report (PDF)

181128_DeficitEstructural

Spanish - November 28, 2018

Report (PDF)

181128_DeficitEstructural_eng

English - November 28, 2018

Authors

Arnulfo Rodríguez
Arnulfo Rodríguez Principal economist for Mexico
BBVA Research
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Carlos Serrano
Carlos Serrano Chief economist for Mexico
BBVA Research
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