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Published on Thursday, February 26, 2026

Mexico | The surplus in the non-oil merchandise trade balance increases

Summary

The balance on non-oil merchandise showed a surplus of USD 10,411 million in 4Q25 after having posted a surplus of USD 2,289 million in the third quarter.

Key points

  • Key points:
  • This balance of goods already shows five consecutive quarters being positive.
  • Given the stylized fact that the trade balance tends to show a countercyclical behavior, it is not surprising that GDP growth in 2025 has been 0.8%.
  • Net foreign direct investment posted an increase of 2.1% YoY in 2025 when comparing advance figures.

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The surplus in the non-oil merchandise trade balance increases

Spanish - February 26, 2026

Authors

AR
Arnulfo Rodríguez BBVA Research - Principal Economist

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