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    January 20, 2022

    Spain Economic Outlook. First Quarter 2022

    Growth in Spain will remain high in the 2022-2023 biennium. Pandemic control, the use of pent-up savings, accelerating NGEU funds, ECB measures and high spare capacity would offset the effects of bottlenecks and higher energy prices.

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    October 19, 2021

    Spain Economic Outlook. Fourth Quarter 2021

    Spain's growth expectations for 2021 and 2022 are moderated to 5.2% and 5.5%, respectively. These figures are weighed down by a number of negative factors such as disruptions in production chains, rising energy prices and delays in the implementation of NGEU funds.

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    April 20, 2021

    China Economic Outlook. Second quarter 2021

    Economic recovery is still solid in that the Q1 GDP registered a record-high year-on-year growth rate of 18.3%. The authorites are phasing out their policy stimulus. More policy attention has shifted to winding down the legacy debt caused by the anti-pandemic relief measures and tackling financial vulnerabilities.

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    October 21, 2020

    Spain Economic Outlook. Fourth Quarter 2020

    The Spanish economy could contract by 11.5% in 2020 and grow by 6.0% in 2021. The fall in GDP exceeded 20% in the first half and it is estimated that the recovery in the third quarter would have been 14% t / t. In any case, a significant slowdown is expected during the last part of 2020.

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    May 29, 2020

    Turkey | 1Q GDP already shows the COVID impact

    Turkish Economy grew by 4.5% yoy in 1Q20, lower than expectations (5.5% Our vs. 4.9% Bloomberg). Seasonally and cal. adj. quarterly growth also decelerated to 0.6% from the previous 1.9% in 4Q19. We still maintain our GDP growth forecast at 0% for 2020, assuming a partial gradual recovery pattern in the rest of the year.

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    February 28, 2020

    Turkey | The economy grew by 0.9% in 2019

    Turkish Economy grew by 6% yoy in 4Q19, leading the whole year GDP growth to be realized at 0.9%, beating the consensus but parallel to our initial forecast of 0.8%. We remain prudent and maintain our GDP growth forecast at 4% for 2020.

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    December 2, 2019

    Turkey | First Positive Growth since 3Q2018

    Turkish Economy grew by 0.9% yoy in 3Q19 (Consensus; 1%), the first positive YoY growth since 3Q18. The GDP grew by 0.4% in quarterly terms, signaling some momentum loss comparing 1.2% qoq in 2Q19. We maintain a prudent GDP growth forecast of 0.3% for 2019 with some upside risk and a neutral 3% for 2020.

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    August 8, 2017

    Turkey: Strong … and accelerating activity

    Annual growth in industrial production (IP) was 3.4% yoy in June (cal. adj.) confirming our robust economic activity forecast for overall 2Q, as IP growth in 2Q reached up to 4.5% yoy from 1Q’s 2.1% reading. Our monthly GDP indicator (GBTRGDPY index at Bloomberg) nowcasts 5.1% YoY GDP growth in 2Q. We think that risks are o…

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