USA
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High growth and inflation will continue in 2018 & 2019. We now anticipate that the Fed will raise rates three times in 2019; for 2018, we maintain our baseline scenario of hikes in Sept. & Dec. Despite elevated volatility in the employment surveys we maintain our outlook for ongoing tightening in the labor market; unemplo…
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- Global Economy
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ECB announces a series of measures for NPLs. ESRB and SRB issue their annual reports. ESMA consults on clearing obligations, and issues statement on Brexit. Spanish Ministry of Economy issues draft law for the sandbox regulation. UK government issues Brexit white paper. US Agencies issue joint statement on the application …
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- Financial Regulation
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BCBS revises the GSIB assessment methodology, and issues technical amendment to NSFR. EBA publishes ITS package for benchmarking exercise. ESMA clarifies clearing obligations for PSAs. CNMV approves Circular on periodic reporting by issuers. PRA consults on proposal for leverage ratio framework. FRB and FDIC consult on res…
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- Financial Regulation
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EBA consults on guidelines on outsourcing, and issues opinion on banks’ preparation for Brexit. ECB announces methodology to calculate ESTER. ESMA issues opinion on CCPs liquidity risk assessment. BoE published its financial stability report. Finally, FRB published the stress test results (CCAR).
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- Financial Regulation
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Much research has documented a decline in the aggregate labor share in the United States and other countries. Yet, this is not a general phenomenon across industries. In fact, there has been a divergence between services and non-services industries in the United States since 1980.
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- Global Economy
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Basel Committee issues progress report on Risk Data Aggregation. EP adopts internal position on banking package (CRD V). EBA publishes annual report, and issues a consultation on the conditions that institutions need to calculate K-IRB. In the USA, FRB publishes results from supervisory stress tests, and the SEC publishes …
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- Financial Regulation
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Incoming data reaffirms our baseline scenario of moderate to high GDP growth and higher inflation in 2018 & 2019. Federal Reserve poised to raise rates twice in the second half of the year and possibly three times in 2019. We continue to expect above average growth in employment which will push the unemployment rate to 3.6…
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- USA
- Topic Tags
- Global Economy
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