BBVA Research

The BBVA Research Manufacturing Multidimensional Indicator (BBVA Research MMI) grew 4.0% YoY in December, maintaining the pace observed in the previous month; in 2025 it records an average year-over-year variation of -0.2%, 2.3 pp above that observed in 2024.

Between 2025 and 2027, regional growth will increasingly rely on domestic demand. In 2025, service-oriented regions stand out; in 2026, consumption and investment will gain prominence, and in 2027, industry and exports in the northern regions will become more relevant.

In the third quarter of 2025, the economy grew by 0.6% compared to the previous quarter. This growth was due to domestic demand, which managed to offset the decline in external demand. During this period, there was a significant increase in employment and a decrease in productivity.

The INE's updated regional GDP estimates for 2024 do not introduce significant changes to the growth hierarchy, which, as noted in September, was led by Murcia and the island regions.