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Published on Thursday, February 11, 2021

Banxico resumes its easing cycle with a 25 bp rate cut, to 4.00%

Summary

A dovish Banxico leaves the door open for additional cuts even after acknowledging that headline inflation is set to temporarily rise in the near-term.

Key points

  • Key points:
  • Banxico resumes the easing cycle even after acknowledging that headline inflation is set to rise
  • The Board seems to be less concerned about this expected jump in inflation
  • If that implies a more forward-looking Board, it will constitute a very welcome development
  • Given this, along with a dovish mood and an economy that is set to weaken further by the time of the next meeting, we think that the odds of a rate cut next meeting have increased

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Report (PDF)

BanxicoWatch-11Feb2021.pdf

English - February 11, 2021

Authors

JA
Javier Amador BBVA Research - Principal Economist
CS
Carlos Serrano BBVA Research - Chief Economist
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