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Published on Thursday, March 11, 2021

ECB WATCH | The ECB amps up PEPP purchases to check yield rise

Summary

The ECB, as expected, left its benchmark interest rates and broader policy guidance unchanged, but surprised boldly by announcing a significant step up of asset purchases under the PEPP next quarter. The decision was a clear response to the recent increase in bond yields.

Key points

  • Key points:
  • The central bank’s immediate focus is on keeping financial conditions favourable
  • The staff projections for GDP growth have been maintained broadly unchanged which do not incorporate yet the latest US stimulus package
  • We consider that the PEPP envelope is large enough to comfortably increase purchases over the next quarter without the ECB having to increase the PEPP envelope

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Documents and files

Report (PDF)

ECB-Watch-0321.pdf

English - March 11, 2021

Authors

JC
Javier Castro Sotelo
Sumedh Deorukhkar
Sumedh Deorukhkar Senior economist for Global economics
BBVA Research
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Agustín García
Agustín García Lead economist for Economic modelling
BBVA Research
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Miguel Jiménez
Miguel Jiménez Lead economist for Global economics
BBVA Research
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María Martínez
María Martínez Principal economist for Global economics
BBVA Research
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