Published on Monday, September 24, 2018 | Updated on Monday, September 24, 2018

Global Economic Risk Outlook. Third quarter 2018

This report analyzes the main global economic risk events that could generate a sizable deviation from our baseline scenario. Among them, a full-on trade war, US recession, Fed exit strategy and disorderly deleveraging in China stand out. Although these are usually events of low probability, their feasibility and adverse effects may be large enough to require monitoring.

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