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Published on Friday, April 4, 2025

Global | Geoeconomic Fragmentation, a Vulnerability for the Climate Transition

Summary

The geoeconomic fragmentation triggered by geopolitical concerns makes climate transitions more vulnerable, for example in the EU, which depends on politically distant suppliers of decarbonization inputs, or in emerging economies, which rely on external flows of sustainable finance.

Key points

  • Key points:
  • Geoeconomic fragmentation, driven by geopolitical tensions, is increasing restrictive trade measures, including those affecting renewables.
  • The EU’s reliance on politically distant suppliers for critical inputs (e.g., rare earths, electric batteries) makes it particularly vulnerable to supply disruptions and heightens decarbonization risks.
  • Fragmentation also impairs the allocation of sustainable finance, hindering cross-border investment flows crucial for climate transitions, especially in emerging economies.

Geographies

Documents and files

Report (PDF)

Geoeconomic Fragmentation, a Vulnerability for the Climate Transition

English - April 4, 2025

Authors

JB
Joxe Mari Barrutiabengoa BBVA Research - Senior Economist
JC
Julián Cubero BBVA Research - Lead Economist
LM
Laura Martínez Gálvez BBVA Research - Economist
PM
Pilar Más Rodríguez BBVA Research - Principal Economist
RO
Rafael Ortiz Durán BBVA Research - Economist
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