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Published on Wednesday, April 1, 2026

Spain | From gas vulnerability to renewable resilience

Summary

Spain’s renewable-based power model has increased resilience to external energy shocks, especially at the wholesale level, but incomplete grid readiness, limited storage and high non-energy costs constrain how much of that advantage reaches final consumers.

Key points

  • Key points:
  • Europe is less fossil-intensive than in the past, but it is still exposed to energy shocks because it remains dependent on imported gas.
  • Spain stands out because its higher renewable penetration has reduced its dependence on gas more than in most peer markets.
  • Gas remains the key marginal driver of electricity prices across Europe, but Spain’s wholesale prices are less sensitive to gas than those of Italy, Germany or France.
  • This resilience is only partially reflected in retail electricity prices. Even where retail tariffs are more directly linked to wholesale prices in Spain, non-energy components (balancing services, taxes, charges) limit the pass-through to final consumers.

Geographies

Documents and files

Presentation (PDF)

From gas vulnerability to renewable resilience

English - April 1, 2026

Authors

JC
Julián Cubero BBVA Research - Lead Economist
PM
Pilar Más Rodríguez BBVA Research - Principal Economist
JN
Jade Nappey BBVA Research - Economist
DP
Diego Pérez González BBVA Research - Economist
LV
Lucien Antonio Vargas Giagnocavo BBVA Research - Economist

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