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Tuesday, January 29, 2019

U.S. Economic Outlook. January 2019

GDP growth to moderate in 2019. Risk of recession remains elevated over the next 24 months. Fed to delay raising rates in 1H19 as it continues to engineer a soft-landing. Labor market slack remains minimal. Inflation expectations down, as pass-through from rising input costs muted. 10-year Treasury to follow shallower path.

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