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May 20, 2025
Global | Measuring Technological Progress in Real Time with ArXiv
This report presents a novel method to track technological progress in real time using data from ArXiv, the world's most popular preprint repository in computer science, physics and mathematics.
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May 14, 2025
Colombia | Sowing the Future: Agricultural Sector – Pork Industry Report
The pig farming sector in Colombia has grown 171% over the last two decades, with improvements in productivity, technification, and health standards. The increasing trend in domestic pork demand represents an opportunity for sector development.
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Our featured publications
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May 19, 2025
Spain | Cyclical Behavior of GDP up to 1Q25 and Tariff Uncertainty
The observatory analyzes the cyclical behavior of GDP and exports in Spain up to the first quarter of 2025, highlighting a negative gap in GDP per working age population (WAP) compared to its trend level (-0.9 pp), although its growth slightly exceeds the historical trend.
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May 15, 2025
Mexico | Regional Sectoral Outlook. First Half 2025
At the end of 2024, the Mexican economy's GDP grew by 1.5%, primarily driven by the Services sector, which experienced a 2.3% increase. Notably, Professional Services, Transportation, and Retail emerged as the key sectors contributing significantly to this economic growth.
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May 14, 2025
Colombia | Sowing the Future: Agricultural Sector – Pork Industry Report
The pig farming sector in Colombia has grown 171% over the last two decades, with improvements in productivity, technification, and health standards. The increasing trend in domestic pork demand represents an opportunity for sector development.
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May 14, 2025
Spain | Real Estate Watch. May 2025
Economic growth will continue to support the dynamism of the real estate sector in the coming months. The decline in interest rates, the strength of the labor market, and positive net migration will sustain strong demand in 2025, although it is expected to decelerate in 2026 as a result of slower economic growth.
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May 9, 2025
Spain | The blackout in real time: collapse and resilience of consumption after 28A
BBVA customers' card spending fell sharply on April 28, 2025, due to the power outage that affected the Iberian Peninsula. In particular, spending by customers residing in the affected areas was 41 percentage points below the average observed on non-holiday Mondays in April 2024.
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May 9, 2025
Spain | Assessing the impact of extreme climate events: Evidence from the Valencia Floods
This note proposes a framework to estimate the employment effects of floods in Spain, combining imputed damage data with a spatial panel model. These extreme events cause job losses and regional spillovers, but timely aid mitigates them. The DANA in Valencia illustrates the frameworks' accuracy and its policy relevance.
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May 8, 2025
Spain | Monitoring the Recovery Plan. 2021–2024
The execution of grants and public tenders under the Recovery, Transformation and Resilience Plan has reached 58% of the planned investments, equivalent to 2.9% of GDP. It is estimated that over 1,100,000 beneficiaries—mainly SMEs and individuals—have already received support.
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April 29, 2025
Colombia | Real Estate Outlook. 2025
BBVA Research presents its new real estate sector report in two presentations: the first analyzes sales, supply, prices, rentals, and demographics; the second focuses on the structure of construction, financing, and sustainability. It includes sales projections, drivers, and trends through 2026.
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April 22, 2025
China Banking Monitor 2025
China’s banks face headwinds in 2025 amid weak credit growth, low profitability, and property sector stress. Narrowing interest margins and declining lending rates have pushed ROA and ROE to record lows. Real estate woes, LGFV debt, and US tariffs weigh heavily on the sector, while links to shadow banking grown modestly.
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April 10, 2025
Real Estate Outlook Mexico. First semester 2025
Construction GDP grew 2.6% thanks to a 6.9% increase in building construction, despite the decline in other subsectors. The mortgage market increased its number of loans by 10.7%, primarily due to the recovery of affordable housing.
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Our most recent publications
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May 21, 2025
Spain | Región de Murcia Economic Outlook 2025
In 2024, the Region of Murcia's GDP could have grown by 3.6%, and is expected to increase by 2.9% in 2025 and 1.6% in 2026. The dynamism of the public sector, tourism and consumer spending, and the recovery of agricultural exports explain this year's strength, while domestic demand is gaining ground.
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May 21, 2025
Spain | Perception and reality: The puzzle of economic recovery
Spain has staged one of the most dynamic macroeconomic recoveries in Europe after the pandemic. Employment and GDP have far exceeded the levels observed in 2019. However, the mood of households does not seem to have followed the same path.
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May 20, 2025
Mexico | Circular Economy, a Strategy in the New National Development Plan
Leaving behind the throwaway economy is the principle on which the circular economy is based. Its goal is to reduce the environmental impact caused by the production of single-use goods by promoting the recycling of materials, waste reduction, and the development of sustainable products.
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May 14, 2025
