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Published on Wednesday, September 29, 2021 | Updated on Wednesday, September 29, 2021

Banxico: inflation will keep the majority of the Board in a tightening mode

Summary

Banxico will likely hike the policy rate by 25bp to 4.75% but looking ahead, we stick with our more dovish view .

Key points

  • Key points:
  • Continued inflation pressures point to another 25bp rate hike to 4.75% this Thursday
  • However, the latest minutes open the door to interpretations that the majority of the Board could soon lean to put an end to the current pre-emptive hiking cycle
  • Our bias now is that Banxico will not take the policy rate to 5.0% by year end and we are sticking with a more dovish expectation for 2022

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Documents and files

Report (PDF)

BanxicoWatch_28Sep21-1.pdf

English - September 29, 2021

Authors

JA
Javier Amador BBVA Research - Principal Economist
CS
Carlos Serrano BBVA Research - Chief Economist
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