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Published on Wednesday, April 11, 2018 | Updated on Thursday, April 12, 2018

Banxico will most likely keep rates unchanged and should strike a more dovish tone

Summary

We expect Banxico to hold rates steady (at 7.50%) next Thursday. As we expected, disinflation pressures are taking hold and inflation is set to fall further; the inflation outlook improvement warrants a more dovish tone. We think Banxico is likely to signal a pause in the near-term. We expect Banxico to begin an easing cycle in October.

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180411_BanxicoWatch

English - April 11, 2018

Authors

Javier Amador
Javier Amador Principal economist for Mexico
BBVA Research
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Carlos Serrano
Carlos Serrano Chief economist for Mexico
BBVA Research
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