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Published on Wednesday, February 28, 2018 | Updated on Wednesday, March 7, 2018

Consumer confidence’s boom and bust in Latin America

We characterize consumer confidence cycle across LatAm using Markov-switching models. Our findings show that a core group of countries shares a statistical common ground for both confidence’s boom and bust cycle synchronisation. Notably, Argentina and Chile tend to lead consumer mood shifts, playing a leading role in propagating consumer confidence shocks throughout LatAm.

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