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Published on Thursday, October 28, 2021

ECB stands ground against early lift-off, stresses temporality of inflation

Summary

The ECB deliberated substantially on two key topical issues concerning markets - 1) the central bank’s view on the drivers and durability of ongoing inflation pressures and 2) the disconnect between ECB’s forward guidance on rates and the market’s timeframe for a lift-off.

Key points

  • Key points:
  • ECB sees inflation pressures lasting longer than anticipated but easing over 2022
  • It delves on the disconnect between ECB’s forward guidance on rates and market expectations of the lift-off timeframe
  • PEPP is expected to end next March, with recalibration of the instruments to be in place at the December meeting

Geographies

Topics

Documents and files

Note (PDF)

ECB-Watch-1021.pdf

English - October 28, 2021

Authors

Sumedh Deorukhkar
Sumedh Deorukhkar Senior economist for Global economics
BBVA Research
More information
Miguel Jiménez
Miguel Jiménez Lead economist for Global economics
BBVA Research
More information
María Martínez
María Martínez Principal economist for Global economics
BBVA Research
More information

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