Global | Emerging Risks in Capital Markets

Summary

The IOSCO 2025 presentation examines how geopolitical tensions, institutional weakening, aging, climate change, and technological innovations (AI and quantum) interact, amplifying risks and shaping a more unstable global environment.

Key points

• Key points:
• Growing global fragmentation slows trade, increases volatility, and weakens multilateral cooperation.
• Populism undermines institutions and threatens central bank independence, heightening uncertainty.
• The shift toward more structural inflation reduces the effectiveness of monetary and fiscal policies.
• Population aging and climate change put fiscal pressure, reduce growth potential, and deepen inequalities.
• Artificial intelligence and quantum computing boost productivity and finance but pose risks to security, jobs, and systemic stability.

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