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Published on Tuesday, October 23, 2018

Global | More moderate and heterogeneous growth, with increasing risks

Summary

We have revised downwards our forecasts for global growth to 3.7% in 2018 and 3.6% in 2019 due to the recent slowdown in emerging markets, in a context of monetary policy normalization and intensification of risks related to protectionism and political uncertainty. The US is expected to grow at 2.8% in 2018 and 2019, while the Eurozone and China will decelerate next year.

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Documents and files

Report (PDF)

1810-Global-Economic-Watch

English - October 23, 2018

Report (PDF)

1810-Observatorio-Global

Spanish - October 23, 2018

Report (PDF)

Global-Watch-4Q18-Note

English - October 23, 2018

Report (PDF)

Observatorio-Global-4T18-Nota

Spanish - October 23, 2018

Authors

RF
Rodrigo Falbo
Agustín García
Agustín García Lead economist for Economic modelling
BBVA Research
More information
Miguel Jiménez
Miguel Jiménez Lead economist for Global economics
BBVA Research
More information
IM
Iñaki Martínez
MM
María Moraga Fernández

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