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Published on Wednesday, November 8, 2023 | Updated on Wednesday, November 8, 2023

Mexico | Pemex’s expenditures contribute to public balance improvement

Summary

Public revenue in the first semester was MXN 157,650 million (0.5% of GDP) below budget due to lower oil-related income as international prices of a crude oil barrel went down.

Key points

  • Key points:
  • Tax revenue was MXN 116,156 million (0.4% of GDP) below budget since VAT intake was MXN 122,378 million lower as there was an increase of reimbursements and compensations along with MXN appreciation against the USD.
  • Despite public revenue being below budget, the performance of total public spending in the first semester allowed the budget deficit to be approximately MXN 62,923 million below budget.
  • The continuous containment of Pemex expenditures does not seem to be a sustainable strategy to keep fiscal discipline in a context of higher pressure from social and new infrastructure spending that can enhance the nearshoring benefits.

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Documents and files

Report (PDF)

Monitor-de-Finanzas-Publicas-al-3T23-nuevo-formato-V3.pdf

Spanish - November 8, 2023

Authors

AR
Arnulfo Rodríguez BBVA Research - Principal Economist
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