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Published on Wednesday, July 17, 2024 | Updated on Thursday, July 18, 2024

Mexico | The slowdown in formal employment continued in June...

Summary

Despite the slowdown, permanent formal employment has shown constant gains. In June, formal employment had a year-on-year growth of 2.0%, 0.1 percentage points below our forecast, confirming the expected deceleration trend.

Key points

  • Key points:
  • Temporary employment has experienced four consecutive months of losses, totaling 95,000 fewer jobs.
  • Manufacturing continues to slow, with a 0.1% year-on-year decline in June. Commerce and services have been the most dynamic sectors, contributing 0.7 percentage points and 0.4pp to annual employment growth, respectively.
  • The agricultural sector has shown the most significant deterioration, with a loss of 1.1% of jobs this year and ten consecutive months of negative annual variations.
  • Mexico City, Hidalgo, Quintana Roo, the State of Mexico, and Nuevo León have shown good job creation performance, while Tabasco has recorded significant drops.
  • Employment is expected to regain some strength in the third quarter, although with more moderate growth due to lower economic growth expected for the year.

Geographies

Documents and files

Report (PDF)

MX_Reporte_Empleo_07_2024.pdf

Spanish - July 17, 2024

Authors

DC
David Cervantes Arenillas BBVA Research - Senior Economist
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