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The oil impact on EM Europe’s structural current accounts: a tale of two countries

Published on Thursday, May 12, 2016 | Updated on Thursday, May 12, 2016

The oil impact on EM Europe’s structural current accounts: a tale of two countries

We examine the oil price effects on the current account balances of the Emerging European economies. To deal with, we decompose current accounts into cyclical and structural components. The emerging Europe (excluding Russia) current account balance is net winner of the new oil paradigm not only in cyclical position but also in structural aspects.

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