China | Will the country abandon "zero tolerance" on COVID-19?

Summary

We analyze the challenges and international comparison of China's "zero tolerance" strategy on COVID-19 and provide a predicted timetable and pre-requisites for Chinese-style "coexistence" strategy.

Key points

• Key points:
• Recent Omicron flare-ups in mainland China and outbreak in Hong Kong posted lots of challenges on China’s “zero tolerance” strategy.
• We define China’s “zero tolerance” strategy and discuss the reasons behind this vastly different strategy with other countries in the world.
• International comparison suggests persisting “zero tolerance” in the long-term is not realistic.
• Whether China will abandon “zero tolerance”, the short answer is no in the short-term, and yes in the medium to long term with a series of pre-requisites and will be in an orderly, gradual and restricted manner.

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