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    December 30, 2019

    North American Trade Agreement: An Excellent Opportunity For Mexico

    Mexico, Canada and US have reached an agreement to renew the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) entered into 25 years ago and which president Donald Trump promised to renegotiate during his electoral campaign. It's important to remember that an understanding had already been reached in December of last year.

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    December 18, 2019

    RMB Internationalization: A Ten-year Review

    The RMB has taken steps on its internationalization march. This ppt reviews RMB's expanding role in global trade and businesses in the past decade, strategies to increase overseas usage of RMB and "811" devaluation and its implication. The next breakthrough will be the opening-up of the domestic bond market.

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    November 29, 2019

    China Banking Monitor

    Bank assets growth picked up to 7.7% in Q3 2019 supported by a higher loan growth rate. Assets quality worsened and diverged among big and smaller banks. Capital adequacy ratio dropped on faster growth in risk-weighted assets, small banks are facing deteriorating conditions in funding through NCDs and bond market.

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    November 1, 2019

    China | LPR: China’s Market-based “Policy” Rate

    China’s central bank announced the elimination of its previous benchmark lending rate as monetary policy rate. Moreover, they made a market-driven Loan Prime Rate (LPR) as the reference rate for banks to price their financial products. It signals the transformation of “dual-track” system to the new “single-track” system.

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    October 22, 2019

    China Economic Outlook. Fourth Quarter 2019

    The Q3 GDP growth slowed to 6% y/y, the lowest growth rate for the past three decades. The prospect of China’s economy hinges on the development of trade talks with the US at the current stage. The two sides recently tried to pursue a partial agreement first and leave the thorny part of negotiation to the next phases.

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    October 7, 2019

    The US-China Trade War: The New Normal

    The ever-escalating trade war between the U.S. and China has become a "new normal" in the international trade scene. Since January 2018, the U.S. average import tariffs on Chinese goods have risen from 3 to 23 percent. Meanwhile, China's retaliatory import tariffs on U.S. goods rose from 7 to 24 percent.

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    September 16, 2019

    China | Growth slowdown confirmed in August

    A batch of August indicators announced today pointed to a significant slowdown in economic activities this summer. Together with the previously released trade and credit data, it suggests that the escalating uncertainties from the US-China trade war dampened people’s confidence and hamper economic expansion.

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    August 14, 2019

    China | Growth dipped in July

    A batch of July economic indicators are announced today, together with the previously released trade and credit data, suggesting that the growth further decelerated amid the escalation of US-China trade war and the domestic structural obstacles such as debt overhang and financial risks.

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