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Published on Thursday, July 18, 2024

Europe | The decision for a September rate cut is wide open

Summary

As expected, the ECB leaves its monetary policy unchanged and leaves the door open for a rate cut at the next meeting in September, awaiting for more data on wages, profit margins and productivity that confirm its inflation outlook.

Key points

  • Key points:
  • The ECB keeps rates steady, as broadly expected
  • The guidance on rates remains unchanged, with the ECB not pre-committing to a particular path
  • The ECB seems to be more worried on growth dynamics and reiterates the one-off nature of the recovery in real wages as a driver for the stickiness of service prices

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Documents and files

Report (PDF)

ECB-Watch-0724.pdf

English - July 18, 2024

Authors

CC
Carlos Castellano BBVA Research - Economist
MM
María Martínez BBVA Research - Principal Economist
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