Global | BBVA Research Big Data Geopolitics Monitor. November 21, 2023

Israeli forces continue ground operations in northern Gaza, searching a hospital for alleged Hamas militants. Talks of a potential exchange of 50 hostages for a 3-day ceasefire to aid Gaza civilians are ongoing, but remain fragile. Meanwhile, the seizure of an Israeli-linked ship by Yemen’s Houthi rebels adds complexity.

Key points

• Key points:
• Geopolitical & Conflict sentiment remain at “Extreme Risk” in the Middle East, while sentiment is returning to normal in most EU Countries (Germany, Italy & Turkiye).
• Political Indexes sentiment eased in some of the Middle East (Iran and S. Arabia) and all the European countries.
• Protest Indexes need to be monitored in some of the Middle East (Egypt, Israel) and some Western countries (UK and Spain for local reasons).
• The Economic Policy Uncertainty remains resilient since the beginning of the Conflict helped by recent Central Bank decisions and the displacement of economic news to conflict ones.

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