Global | BBVA Research Big Data Geopolitics Monitor. October 24, 2023

Summary

Following the Hamas-Israel attack, BBVA's Geopolitical Sentiment indexes deteriorated, impacting the Middle East as well as the West. As tension rises, the protest index for the Middle East and Europe show higher levels, while the Economic Political Uncertainty index remains neutral.

Key points

• Key points:
• The levels of Geopolitical and Conflict sentiment remains at “Extreme Risk” in the Middle East and most of the Western Countries.
• The Political Indexes remain at very high levels in the Middle East & some spots of risk in Western Countries (UK , France, Türkiye & USA).
• The Protest Indexes remain at similar levels this week. Somehow more contained but with some signals of risk in the M. East (S. Arabia & Egypt) and in the West (UK and now Germany).
• Tthe Economic Political Uncertainty index remains in the neutral area after three weeks of conflict.

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