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Published on Friday, November 20, 2020

Big Data techniques used

Global | Tracking the COVID-19 Crisis with High-Resolution Transaction Data

Summary

Presentation released by BBVA Research at Big Things Data & AI Conference. Observing the evolution of the economy in real time and high definition can be essential when evaluating the economic impact of an event with few precedents in the world economy like the current Covid19 crisis.

Key points

  • Key points:
  • Measuring National Accounts in Real Time & High Definition. The use of card spending for nowcasting aggregate consumption and making granular economic analysis.
  • Data may be analyzed between 1-3 months ahead than the official figures. Data has more granular detail on household spending than the official figures.
  • The impact of Covid-19 on foreign spending was much higher than on national expenditure. Tourism related sectors are the most affected ones, while others like food, health or furnitures are growing more than last year.
  • Transaction data has proved to be useful to track the economy and exploit time series, cross-sectional and geographical dimensions.

Geographies

Topics

Documents and files

Presentation (PDF)

BBVA_Research_BigThings2020.pdf

English - November 20, 2020

Authors

VC
Vasco M. Carvalho University of Cambridge and CEPR - External partner
JG
Juan Ramón García BBVA Research - Principal Economist
SH
Stephen Hansen University College London and CEPR - External partner
AO
Alvaro Ortiz BBVA Research - Head of Analysis with Big Data
TR
Tomasa Rodrigo BBVA Research - Lead Economist
JR
José V. Rodríguez Mora CUNEF, University of Edimburgo and CEPR - External partner
PR
Pep Ruiz BBVA Research - Principal Economist
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