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Published on Wednesday, June 10, 2015

Latam Daily | Downside surprise in inflation in Mexico leads us to lower our forecast

Summary

Headline inflation declined to 2.9% in May, an all-time low, and we believe it should remain below 3% for the rest of this year. Meanwhile, core inflation was 0.12% MoM, below our estimate (0.14%) mainly driven by a decrease in the core other goods. We lower our year-end headline inflation forecast to 2.65% from 2.75%.

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Report (PDF)

67413_80597.pdf

English - June 10, 2015

Authors

CP
Cecilia Posadas BBVA Research - Principal Economist
ED
Enestor Dos Santos BBVA Research - Principal Economist
JS
Jorge Selaive
JT
Juana Téllez BBVA Research - Chief Economist
CS
Carlos Serrano BBVA Research - Chief Economist
HP
Hugo Perea BBVA Research - Chief Economist
AF
Alejandro Faci
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