Brazil latest publications

January 28, 2020

Brazil Economic Outlook. First quarter of 2020

Brazil: reinforced recovery prospects.

October 22, 2019

Brazil Economic Outlook | Fourth Quarter 2019

The global slowdown makes the domestic recovery more difficult.

July 22, 2019

Brazil Economic Outlook. Third quarter 2019

Brazil: recovery prospects remain in place, despite weaker growth at the beginning of 2019

May 6, 2019

Worsened economic prospects for Brazil

The Brazilian economy saw a clear slowdown at the end of 2018 and growth in economic activity for the year was only 1.1% — the same rate recorded in 2017. Last year the country continued to recover too slowly from the strong recession that knocked almost seven percentage points off Brazil's GDP between 2015 and 2016.

April 11, 2019

Brazil Economic Outlook. Second quarter 2019

Growth recovery is slowing down in Brazil. The deceleration in the world economy, as well as slow and limited progress in the local adoption of economic reforms –particularly in the social security- will limit the economy’s capacity for growth in the coming years. We expect GDP to grow 1.8% in both 2019 and 2020.

January 22, 2019

Brazil | The economy will grow 2.2% in and 1,8% in 2020

The Brazilian economy will grow 2.2% in 2019 and 1.8% in 2020, stimulated by factors such as the expansive tone of monetary policy and the increase in confidence. However, prospects for growth recovery are now less positive, mainly due to the view that the global environment will be less favorable than previously expected.

January 2, 2019

Financial Resilience of Brazilian Households

Many individuals and households experience moments of financial difficulty, prompted either by a personal shock, such as losing a job, or an economy-wide shock, such as a recession. Financial resilience is key for consumer welfare and the formal financial system plays an important role.

December 13, 2018

Quo vadis, Brazil?

The next government is expected to propose measures to tackle the fiscal imbroglio and other problems, but there are doubts about its capacity to implement reforms given the fragmentation of Congress and political polarization. All in all, the economy is likely to grow around 2% in the coming years.