U.S. Elections Chartbook. September 2020

Summary

President’s approval ratings continue recovering, but remain below pre-Covid levels. With most states taking steps to accommodate the Covid-19 crisis, 78% of voters will have the option to cast an absentee ballot without any limitation.

Key points

• Key points:
• Considering trends in key swing states, the presidential election remains tight without a clear favorite
• Trump and Biden are neck and neck in both campaign receipts and disbursements, albeit 58% of sectors are giving more to Trump’s campaign than Biden’s
• According to our model, third-party forecasts and the latest odds, Democrats are expected to win White House, keep control of House and narrowly win back Senate

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