Going forward, the real estate market will be exposed to factors that will put negative pressure on demand. For example, interest rates are expected to continue rising and the 12-month Euribor is expected to stabilize above 4% and remain there for much of 2023 and 2024.
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The COVID pandemic coincided with a surge in housing prices in several countries, especially some of the richest, despite the fact that at the same time there was an exceptional slump in economic activity that would normally have led to a sharp decline in prices.
Home sales have been rallying since the second half of 2020, yet supply is barely growing. If the factors behind the sector’s sluggish recovery are not promptly addressed, the resulting pressure will push prices even higher.
In the coming months, the real estate sector will be conditioned by the downward revision of economic growth, the war in Ukraine, the shortage and high inflation of construction materials, the foreseeable rise in interest rates and the persiste…
Home sales have increased in the last year, far more than expected in an economy that saw GDP fall 10.8% in 2020 — with sector indicators offering plenty of evidence of the strength of demand.
The real estate sector has good growth prospects and will lead the country's economic recovery process. It will be driven by medium and low priced new housing. Meanwhile, higher-value housing, used housing and the non-residential sector will have a slightly later recovery.
GDP contracted by 8.7% in the third quarter of 2020 compared to the same period in 2019, while housing sales increased by 4%. In Spain we are used to housing being the cause of recessions and being one of the last sectors to recover. The vigor of the upturn in purchases has therefore been a surprise.
One issue that regularly comes up in the real estate market is knowing whether or not house prices are overvalued, especially when prices increase several quarters in a row. There's no easy answer, because it requires comparing the price with i…
The FHFA house price index increased solidly in January, hitting 6% YoY growth. Existing homes median sales prices in February decreased considerably. We expect the FHFA index to grow around 4.9% YoY in 2016, compared to 5.6% in 2015