Real Estate latest publications
The real estate sector has good growth prospects and will lead the country's economic recovery process. It will be driven by medium and low priced new housing. Meanwhile, higher-value housing, used housing and the non-residential sector will have a slightly later recovery.
April 7, 2021
U.S. | CRE after Covid - crisis and reinvention, business as usual, or full steam ahead?
The fast economic recovery over the next few years will benefit commercial real estate greatly, but the structural challenges to some of its segments will remain and possibly intensify
Interest rates cushion mortgage market contraction in most states. Ten years in which mortgage credit has flowed, but there is still much to do.
Housing construction will be a key sector to help the country's economic recovery. The low and mid-price segments will have the greatest dynamism, thanks to government support and the reactivation of household demand. The other housing sectors, along with non-residential buildings, will have a slower recovery.
During 2020 banking intermediation showed resiliency but was not unscathed. Bank deposits grew at double digits, however, credit to the private sector dropped for the first time in the last ten years. In 2021, investment and employment growth will be key for the strength of the sector.
Housing sales fell more in the Canary Islands than the Spanish average and have not recovered to their pre-pandemic level. The main reason is the reduction in foreign purchases, whose weight fell below 30% in the first 9 months of 2020. Meanwhile, prices fell by 0.9% in 2020, less than the average (-1.1%).
Despite the fall in GDP in 2H20 (-9.0% YoY), housing sales rose by 2.4% and mortgages by 5.1%. However, many of the factors supporting sales may be temporary. Towards the second half of the year, the sector could show a vigorous recovery. Its fundamentals are solid.
The economic recession and the restrictions associated to the pandemic have brought unusual circumstances for the banking system. On the one hand, credit growth to the private sector dropped for the first time since 2010. On the other hand, deposits growth remains strong.