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Last week's GDP release, showing a 0.7% YoY growth, raised several points for analysis: the dynamics of GDP per capita in pesos, the importance of the housing sector, the boost in services exports, the performance of domestic demand, and future signals.

At BBVA Research we have identified the agricultural sector, both globally and in Colombia, as one of the sectors with the greatest potential for the coming years. For this reason, we have undertaken a line of study entitled "Sowing the future: Colombia's agricultural sector", which will cover 5 strategic sub-sectors.

Conditions are favourable for boosting sector expansion and exports. Despite low domestic growth and weakening employment, lower relative prices will help domestic demand. Externally, a real depreciation higher than that of regional peers will …

The GDP grew by 0.7% YoY in the first quarter. The growth slowed down, with March being the month with the least activity among the three months. Domestic demand was the main source of the low growth. The performance of fixed investment and the…

The saving rate in Colombia transitioned from satisfactory levels to finance investment and long-term growth at the end of the first decade of this century and the beginning of the second, to a level that is among the lowest in the world and in…

Monthly inflation in April was 0.59% and annual inflation 7.16%, close to market analysts' expectations (0.57%, according to Banco de la República's survey) and in line with our estimate (0.60%).

In March, the national unemployment rate was 11.3%, up from 10.0% a year ago. Seasonally adjusted, the national unemployment rate continued its upward trend in March. Employment fell by 0.7% year-over-year, so that job creation continued its downward trend.

Poverty was reduced in Colombia last year. In 2023, 338 thousand people were lifted out of multidimensional poverty, bringing poverty from 12.9% of the population in 2022 to 12.1% in 2023. And it was reduced mainly in the countryside. Informali…

Banrep Board maintains March's pace of cuts, with a 50bp reduction in April, accumulating a total of 150bp since it started its downward rate cycle in December 2023. The decision was split, with 5 members in favor of the 50bp reduction, one mem…

Credit expansion has consolidated several months of timid growth and decreases, explained by supply and demand factors. Strengthening the payment capacity of households and companies, in a scenario of accelerating economic activity, will be key…

Inflation continues to fall, but rents are acting as a silent enemy, putting upward pressure on the basket of services, with monthly variations reaching 15-year highs. What is behind these rises and how long will they last?

Banco de la República has reduced its policy rate by one percentage point since November 2023. This brings the rate to 12.25%, still a high level, especially considering that March inflation stood at 7.4% and the most recent activity figures point to a stagnant economy.