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Published on Thursday, March 24, 2022 | Updated on Friday, March 25, 2022

Banxico delivers third 50bp hike in a row

Summary

The hiking cycle has much further to run, the question is whether Banxico will frontload the hikes or take a more gradual pace once core inflation starts to ease

Key points

  • Key points:
  • Banxico raised the policy rate by 50bp to 6.50%
  • Banxico revised up sharply its inflation forecasts once again, bringing them close to our recently updated forecasts
  • We expect inflation to remain well above 5.0% through year-end and core inflation to ease below 5.5% until Nov-Dec
  • Under this backdrop and with the hawkish shift by the Fed, acknowledged in the statement, the hiking cycle has much further to run

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Documents and files

Report (PDF)

BanxicoWatch_24Mar22.pdf

English - March 24, 2022

Authors

JA
Javier Amador BBVA Research - Principal Economist
CS
Carlos Serrano BBVA Research - Chief Economist
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