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Published on Thursday, July 2, 2020

Big Data techniques used

Global | The COVID-19 impact on Consumption in Real Time and High Definition: 2 July

Summary

This is a weekly publication based on high-frequency and high-resolution aggregated and anonymised transaction data from BBVA to analyse the dynamics in real time of expenditure in the countries where BBVA operates during the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic.

Key points

  • Key points:
  • The pace of the recovery slowed down at the end of June after the rapid catch up growth during the last weeks
  • The Consumption Diffusion Heat Map shows a much more clear outlook in June compared to the last three months
  • While restaurants continue catching up since the lift of mobility restrictions, specially in Europe, accommodation is still subdued
  • Spain continues to consolidate its recovery: accommodations’ negative growth has started to moderate, card expenditure has risen in 48 out of 52 provinces exceeding 10% yoy in 27 of them and, on June 22-28, national consumption of provinces who went into Phase 3 first grew 7% yoy and the rest grew 4% yoy
  • In Turkey, consumption went back to normality in June and investment accelerated since the middle of the month. In Peru, online expenditure is still booming and negative growth rates moderated in June

Geographies

Topics

Documents and files

Presentation (PDF)

Weekly_Big_Data_2ndJul.pdf

English - July 2, 2020

Authors

VB
Vanessa Belapatiño BBVA Research - Senior Economist
FB
Filip Blazheski
FB
Fernando Bolívar
AC
Adrian Casillas
MC
María Paula Castañeda
JG
Juan Ramón García BBVA Research - Principal Economist
BO
Berk Orkun Isa
JM
Juan Manuel Manías BBVA Research - Principal Economist
AO
Alvaro Ortiz BBVA Research - Head of Analysis with Big Data
TR
Tomasa Rodrigo BBVA Research - Lead Economist
PR
Pep Ruiz BBVA Research - Principal Economist
SS
Saide Aránzazu Salazar BBVA Research - Principal Economist
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