Published on Tuesday, November 24, 2020 | Updated on Saturday, November 28, 2020
Global | The future of the sectors after COVID-19
Summary
The Covid-19 shock may cause changes in the economic trends and their impact on the productive sectors. Therefore, the main global trends that will determine growth until 2025 are chosen and scenarios are created for them. Then, using a SUR model, the sectoral impact is estimated.
Key points
- Key points:
- Crisis will accelerate pre-pandemic trends and pose new challenges for industries. Digitalization will be key to economic growth in the coming years.
- By sector, the post-COVID-19 recovery would be driven mainly by the "Other Services", which includes digitalization, public services (especially health) and the financial sector, among others.
- "Retail and wholesale trade and transport" would be the sector most affected by the crisis.
- By country, sectoral patterns are similar to those of the world economy.
- For a more detailed analysis by country or region, the methodology used can be adapted.
Geographies
- Geography Tags
- Global
- Europe
- Latin America
- Türkiye
Topics
- Topic Tags
- Macroeconomic Analysis
Documents and files
Authors
FG
Francisco Grippa
BBVA Research - Principal Economist
MH
Mauricio Hernández
BBVA Research - Principal Economist
MI
Mario Iparraguirre
BBVA Research - Senior Economist
PM
Pilar Más Rodríguez
BBVA Research - Principal Economist
MN
Marcial Nava
PS
Paulo Sánchez
SV
Samuel Vázquez
BBVA Research - Principal Economist
GU
Gerónimo Ugarte Bedwell
BBVA Research