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Published on Thursday, February 14, 2019 | Updated on Thursday, February 14, 2019

Turkey | Downside surprise in Industrial Production (IP)

Summary

Industrial Production (IP) surprised on the downside by falling 9.8% yoy in calendar adjusted terms in December (-8.4% BBVA Research vs. -7.5% Consensus). Thus, IP contracted by 7.5% in 4Q18 after its 1.6% growth in 3Q18. We maintain our view that the recovery in economic activity could start as of 2Q19 and bring the whole year GDP growth rate to 1% in 2019.

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Turkey-Activity-Pulse-Feb2019_

English - February 14, 2019

Authors

Ali Batuhan Barlas
Ali Batuhan Barlas Principal economist for Türkiye
BBVA Research
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Adem Ileri
Adem Ileri Principal economist for Türkiye
BBVA Research
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SK
Serkan Kocabas
Seda Guler Mert
Seda Guler Mert Chief economist for Türkiye
BBVA Research
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Alvaro Ortiz
Alvaro Ortiz Head of Economic Analysis with Big Data & AI
BBVA Research
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