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Published on Monday, January 14, 2019 | Updated on Monday, January 14, 2019

Turkey: Sharp contraction in Industrial Production (IP)

Summary

IP fell by 6.5% yoy in calendar adjusted terms in November, disappointing the expectations (BBVA: -5.8%, Consensus: -5.4%). Our monthly GDP indicator nowcasts a contraction of 1.6% yoy growth in December (with 32% info), which is still consistent with our 3% 2018 GDP growth estimate but with some downside risks. We maintain our 2019 GDP growth forecast at 1%.

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Turkey-Activity-Pulse-Jan2019

English - January 14, 2019

Authors

Ali Batuhan Barlas
Ali Batuhan Barlas Principal economist for Türkiye
BBVA Research
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Adem Ileri
Adem Ileri Principal economist for Türkiye
BBVA Research
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SK
Serkan Kocabas
Seda Guler Mert
Seda Guler Mert Chief economist for Türkiye
BBVA Research
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Alvaro Ortiz
Alvaro Ortiz Head of Economic Analysis with Big Data & AI
BBVA Research
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