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Published on Thursday, June 14, 2018 | Updated on Thursday, June 14, 2018

Turkey | Still solid activity in April…to decelerate

Summary

The Industrial production (IP) grew by 6.2% yoy in calendar adjusted terms, slightly above the market consensus of 5.65% in April. Our monthly GDP indicator still nowcasts slightly below 6% yoy growth for 2Q18 as of May. Considering the overheating in the 1Q and the 500bps tightening in last two months, we expect GDP growth to be near 3.5% this year.

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Turkey-Activity-Pulse-Jun2018

English - June 14, 2018

Authors

Ali Batuhan Barlas
Ali Batuhan Barlas Principal economist for Türkiye
BBVA Research
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Seda Guler Mert
Seda Guler Mert Chief economist for Türkiye
BBVA Research
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Adem Ileri
Adem Ileri Principal economist for Türkiye
BBVA Research
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SK
Serkan Kocabas
Alvaro Ortiz
Alvaro Ortiz Head of Economic Analysis with Big Data & AI
BBVA Research
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