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Spain Regional Watch. First quarter 2018

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The progressive deceleration of domestic demand and foreign tourism, together with an improvement in the export sector of goods and the effects of Catalan political tension, bias the growth towards the peninsular center. The unemployment rate will approach minimums at the end of 2019 in some Autonomous Communities.

Available in Spanish

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Portugal consolidates its economic recovery

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According to the information available, 4Q17 Portuguese GDP grew at 0.4% QoQ, SWDA, a similar rate to that seen in 3Q17. This would be consistent with the latest BBVA Research scenario for Portugal (+2.6% in 2017 and +2.3% in 2018).

Geographies:Portugal

Available in Portuguese, Spanish, English

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Brazil Economic Outlook. First quarter 2018

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The economy has recovered faster than expected in 2017. Taking this and the improvements in the global environment into account, we revised our growth forecasts upwards. We expect that, after growing 1.0% in 2017, GDP will grow 2.1% in 2018 and 3.0% in 2019. However, the materialization of political and fiscal risks could bring the recovery process to an end.

Available in Spanish, English

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Continuing to improve the public pension system

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The public pension system is a fundamental pillar of the welfare state. And for it to continue being so, it is necessary to modernise it and adapt it to the changes being undergone by Spanish society. Fortunately more and more people are reaching retirement age and are doing so with a longer life expectancy.

Available in Spanish, English

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U.S. | Weekly podcast: Employment, inflation and retail sales

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Weekly economic update focusing on the major economic indicators to be released the week of December 11, 2017. Special topic: November employment report

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U.S. | Weekly podcast: Technology empowered consumers and employment

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Weekly economic update focusing on the major economic indicators to be released the week of December 4, 2017. Special topic: technology, the consumer of the future, and the shaping of industries

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Spain Regional Watch. Fourth Quarter 2017

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In 2017, revisions are explained by exports that are lower than expected, or by the exhaustion of tourism. In 2018, positive inertia and the external environment are favorable, but several factors, such as the economic effects of terrorist attacks and the uncertainty related to the political environment in Catalonia, point to a slowdown.

Available in Spanish

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Digital transformation and employment

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The effects of automation, artificial intelligence, big data and the internet of things on future employment and social wellbeing are full of uncertainty.

Available in Spanish, English

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Madrid Economic Outlook. Second half 2017

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The economy of Madrid grew by 3.7% in 2016. It will also keep growing by 3.4% in 2017 and by 2.7% in 2018. This will add around 175,000 new jobs in that period and unemployment shall drop to 10.5%. Although GDP and GDP per capita have already recovered pre-crisis levels, creating more and better jobs remain important challenges better jobs remain important challenges.

Available in Spanish

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Andalusia Economic Outlook. Second semester 2017

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Andalusia’s economy will grow by 3.2% in 2017 and 2.5% in 2018. The unemployment rate will remain high (23.2%) but 206,000 jobs will be created by the end of 2018. Pre-crisis GDP will be reached but the labor market will be characterized by major challenges.

Available in Spanish

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U.S. | Weekly podcast: GDP and employment

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Weekly economic update focusing on the major economic indicators to be released the week of October 30, 2017. Special topic: first estimate of 3Q GDP

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U.S. | Weekly podcast: employment, manufacturing, services, inflation and retail sales

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Weekly economic update focusing on the major economic indicators to be released the week of October 9, 2017. Special topic: analysis of several recently published economic indicators

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U.S. | Weekly podcast: natural interest rate and employment

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Weekly economic update focusing on the major economic indicators to be released the week of October 2, 2017. Special topic: natural interest rate

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Portugal: growth slows in 2Q17

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The growth rate of the Portuguese economy in 2Q17 decelerated to reach 0.3% QoQ, in line with the BBVA Research estimate (0.4% QoQ) and below that seen in 1Q17 (1.0% QoQ). Based on data so far available, BBVA Research estimates that growth in 3Q17 will be around 0.5% QoQ.

Geographies:Portugal

Available in Portuguese, Spanish, English

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U.S. | Weekly podcast: autos, employment and income

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Weekly economic update focusing on the major economic indicators to be released the week of August 28, 2017. Special topic: the state of the auto market

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