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May 5, 2025
This year, the spring meetings of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank (WB) in Washington were characterized by noise. The biggest concerns remain the impact of tariffs on the economy and on financial assets, especially the dollar.
March 21, 2025
Colombia’s automotive sector showed signs of recovery in 2024, with a 7.9% sales increase driven by utility vehicles and taxis. Domestic production declined significantly, while imports grew. Improved macroeconomic conditions are expected to further boost the sector in 2025 and 2026.
March 17, 2025
Amid the current environment, uncertainty over the trend in global (mainly) and local economic policy is currently very high, which can have significant and hard to predict consequences on the decisions of households and businesses alike.
December 26, 2024
With Christmas and the start of the new year nearly upon us, it is always good to look back and review what has happened over the last 12 months. My goal here is to do a mea culpa on where we got things wrong when we laid out our economic scenario a year ago.
December 12, 2024
As expected, today the ECB lowered interest rates by 25bp and revised down growth and inflation forecasts. Lagarde did not give many clues on the next steps but reaffirmed that the disinflationary process is on track. We maintain four more cuts for the first half of 2025 to 2% (depo).
April 1, 2024
Benefited by falling prices, especially energy ones, and lower interest rates, the Spanish economy is holding up better than expected. The distribution of regional growth is centered on the touristic regions and/or the ones producing high value-added services, which will lead the growth.
