Searcher

forecasts

forecasts latest publications

January 24, 2020

Latin America | What matters in 2020?

Modest recovery: Latin America will grow 1.4% in 2020 and 2.1% in 2021, after having expanded 0.6% in 2019.

January 23, 2020

Latin America Economic Outlook. First quarter 2020

Latin America: gradual recovery in 2020-21, but a surge in uncertainty represents a risk

October 24, 2019

Latin America Economic Outlook. Fourth quarter 2019

Latin American GDP will grow 0.7% in 2019, and recover moderately in 2020

August 12, 2019

LATAM: recovery delayed again

The recovery of growth in Latin America has not materialized for several quarters and the return to average growth rates above 2% has been consistently delayed. The second quarter of 2019 was no exception.

July 24, 2019

Latin America Economic Outlook. Third quarter 2019

Latin America: growth will be of only 1.0% in 2019 and will recover to 2.2% in 2020

July 24, 2019

Eurozone | Softer growth ahead on external and industrial weakness and higher uncertainty

We expect a GDP growth to slow from 1.9% to 1.1% in 2019 and remain relatively stable at 1.2% in 2020 due to easing monetary policy and slightly fiscal stimulus, which should offset shocks from trade war and industrial sector (autos). Risks are tilted to the downside (hard Brexit and increasing global protectionism)

July 19, 2019

Insurance Outlook. First semester 2019

Insurance growth, following a steady progress during the past years, will slow to 2,8% in 2020. The implementation of the autonomous car would imply a reduction in the number of accidents and the cost of premiums. People who subscribe health insurance have healthy lifestyles and are generally healthier than the rest.

July 18, 2019

Global | Updated forecasts: World growth to soft land, amid trade tensions and stimulus

Global growth continues in a smooth downward path, led by the weakness of the industrial sector and exports due to trade tensions. Persistent low inflation led central banks to reassess their monetary policy stance. We revised downward our world GDP forecast 0.1pp to 3.3% for 2019 and 2020, with strongly downward risks