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At BBVA Research we have identified the agricultural sector, both globally and in Colombia, as one of the sectors with the greatest potential for the coming years. For this reason, we have undertaken a line of study entitled "Sowing the future: Colombia's agricultural sector", which will cover 5 strategic sub-sectors.

Conditions are favourable for boosting sector expansion and exports. Despite low domestic growth and weakening employment, lower relative prices will help domestic demand. Externally, a real depreciation higher than that of regional peers will favour exports.

Foreign currency adjusted weekly credit growth decelerated further to 0.3% in the week ending by May 10th. This is due to both commercial and consumer credits in public banks. Total credits’ 13-week annualized trend fell from 36.4% to 35.1%.

GDP contracted 0.3% YoY in March. This result was influenced by the fact that some activities were affected by two fewer days of productive activity given that Easter was scheduled on March 28 and 29 in 2024, while in 2023 it was celebrated on …

We present a summary and analysis of the most relevant developments and publications in Mexico's financial regulatory landscape.

Foreign currency adjusted weekly credit growth decelerated to 0.5% on the week ending at May 3rd following the strong increase of 1.5% in the previous week. This is due to both commercial and consumer credits in the whole sector. Total credits’ 13-week annualized trend fell from 37.3% to 36.4%.

In March 2024, the balance of the current credit portfolio granted by commercial banks to the non-financial private sector (SPNF) registered a real annual growth of 4.9%, while the balance of traditional bank deposits (sight + term) registered a real annual growth rate of 4.5%.

Monthly inflation in April was 0.59% and annual inflation 7.16%, close to market analysts' expectations (0.57%, according to Banco de la República's survey) and in line with our estimate (0.60%).

Banrep Board maintains March's pace of cuts, with a 50bp reduction in April, accumulating a total of 150bp since it started its downward rate cycle in December 2023. The decision was split, with 5 members in favor of the 50bp reduction, one mem…

Foreign currency adjusted weekly credit growth has been decelerating since the start of April; and turned into negative weekly growth with -0.22% in the week ending by April 19th, due to both commercial and consumer credits of public banks.

Credit expansion has consolidated several months of timid growth and decreases, explained by supply and demand factors. Strengthening the payment capacity of households and companies, in a scenario of accelerating economic activity, will be key to reactivate the demand for credit.

Foreign currency adjusted weekly credit growth has been decelerating since the start of April; and fell from 0.3% to 0% in the week ending by April 9th, due to commercial credits of both public and private banks. Total credits’ 13-week annualized trend fell from 36.5% to 34.3%.